东晴西雨
价钱与价值
十年前,有人说中国会出现泡沫。
十年后,中国仍然强势成长中。
没人能知道何时经济会一夜之间地垮掉。
大家都说:“我每天都看着股票,经济一垮我一定能卖掉。”
衡量股票的方式,渐渐演变成一串不太有意义的方程式。
“某某股票历史最高是2.00,现在你买1.50。明年Project一好,它一定会冲上去。”
追求眼前的利益,渐渐取代股票原本最初的意义。
Greece - The weakest link
If you hold Greek's bond that's going to mature in 2014, you're doomed.
The new deal gives back 30% of redemption in cash.
The other 70% of money is structured into a new 30 years bond.
You will receive 5.5% to 8% annual interest depends on Greek's economic performance.
The new 30 years bond doesn't make sense at all, especially when 30% of money will be lent to a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) that's going to buy some AAA rated bonds and issues a zero coupon bond back.
About net asset per share
如果一个公司的Net Asset per share是1.00,
接近0的负债,
每年营收0.20 per share。
请问,你同意用什么价位来买它?
以超过1.00的价位来买,你同意分享较少巴仙的回酬。
- 如果回酬还有7%以上,其实还是可以考虑。
- 如果回酬少过7%,那你把钱放在EPF会比较妥当。
以同等的价位来买,你便能坐拥公司此后的所有盈利。
以少过1.00的价位来买,你便是捡到了宝。



















